Zalaegerszegi TEvs
Kisvarda FC
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 10/24/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zalaegerszegi TE · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 Kisvarda FC
Original prediction
Zalaegerszegi TE
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.0% | 36.3% | -18.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.5% | 28.0% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.5% | 35.7% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Zalaegerszegi TE
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Zalaegerszegi TE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80