NB III - NorthwestNB III - Northwest
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:40
Zalaegerszegi TE II

Zalaegerszegi TE II

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Veszprém

Veszprém

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Zalaegerszegi TE II(32%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Zalaegerszegi TE II
32%
Draw
25%
Veszprém
43%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.30 xG for Zalaegerszegi TE II and 2.12 xG for Veszprém — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Zalaegerszegi TE II holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Zalaegerszegi TE II finding the net in 7 of 10 matches and Veszprém in 9 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.41 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.Historical meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals per game — a high-scoring pattern that aligns with the current xG projection and adds further weight to the over 2.5 case.

xG for (Veszprém)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Veszprém)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
VeszprémVeszprém
L

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Zalaegerszegi TE II32%
Draw25%
Veszprém43%

Veszprém leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Veszprém Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Zalaegerszegi TE II host Veszprém in NB III - Northwest. Zalaegerszegi TE II have recorded DWLLLL in recent matches while Veszprém arrive with a run of DDWLWW. These sides have met 9 times recently, averaging 3.4 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.12 expected goals for Veszprém against 1.30 for Zalaegerszegi TE II — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Veszprém have kept 2 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 📈 Recent Form Veszprém arrive in better recent form — 3 wins from 10 matches (DDWLWW) against Zalaegerszegi TE II's 1. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Veszprém are generating a commanding xG advantage — 2.12 projected against 1.30 for Zalaegerszegi TE II. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.82 is the clearest signal in the model that Veszprém are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Veszprém are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • Veszprém have been conceding 1.63 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 2 of the last 9 meetings.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Recent form

Veszprém

Veszprém

L
@ Budaörs
17 May 2026
15

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zalaegerszegi TE II vs Veszprém?

GoalVio's model predicts Zalaegerszegi TE II to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zalaegerszegi TE II vs Veszprém?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Zalaegerszegi TE II vs Veszprém?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zalaegerszegi TE II vs Veszprém?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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