Zakynthosvs
Apollon Pontou
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zakynthos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zakynthos 2-0 Apollon Pontou, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zakynthos 1-1 Apollon Pontou
Original prediction
Zakynthos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 57.0% | 55.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.4% | 25.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.56 | 16.6% | 19.0% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Projected Score
Zakynthos 2–0 Apollon Pontou
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Zakynthos
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Zakynthos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZakynthosLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Apollon PontouWLLDL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ZakynthosApollon Pontou
33.3Attack18.2
66.7Defence31.8
33.3Form16.7
45.3Power25.8
1.98xG0.54