Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zakho 0-0 Al Talaba, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zakho 0-0 Al Talaba
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.4% | 38.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.1% | 36.1% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.5% | 25.3% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Projected Score
Zakho 0–0 Al Talaba
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
38.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZakhoLDLWL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al TalabaDWDLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ZakhoAl Talaba
31.6Attack35.1
82.9Defence66.7
58.1Form46.5
59.6Power51.5
0.69xG0.45