Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zagorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zagorets are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sozopol are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Zagorets hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Third League - Southeast, while Zagorets holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zagorets
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Zagorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50