Zagorecvs
Istra 1961
COMPLETEDCroatia · Cup · 9/8/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Istra 1961 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zagorec 0-5 Istra 1961
Original prediction
Istra 1961
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 21.33 | 4.3% | 34.2% | 29.8 pts |
| Draw | 10.00 | 9.2% | 21.3% | 12.1 pts |
| Away | 1.07 | 86.5% | 44.5% | -41.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-41.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Istra 1961
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Istra 1961 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZagorecWLWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25
BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Istra 1961DDLWD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ZagorecIstra 1961
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
80.3Power56.2
2.35xG1.68