GGOALVIO

Croatia · Second NL · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zagora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Zagora 2-2 Slavonija Požega

Original prediction

Zagora

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7252.8%45.8%-7.0 pts
Draw3.8323.7%26.9%3.2 pts
Away3.8523.6%27.3%3.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Zagora

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Zagora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZagoraLWWDL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Slavonija PožegaWDWLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ZagoraSlavonija Požega
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence0.0
66.7Form33.3
77.5Power45.3
2.10xG1.20
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