Zagoravs
NK Varazdin
COMPLETEDCroatia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zagora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zagora 0-4 NK Varazdin
Original prediction
Zagora
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.15 | 8.2% | 40.8% | 32.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.74 | 13.5% | 21.1% | 7.6 pts |
| Away | 1.16 | 78.3% | 38.1% | -40.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
32.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Zagora
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Zagora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZagoraDDWLW
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
NK VarazdinDWLWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ZagoraNK Varazdin
100.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence22.2
100.0Form44.4
80.3Power36.4
2.92xG1.45