GGOALVIO

Croatia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zagora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Zagora 4-2 Bratstvo Jurovec

Original prediction

Zagora

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.0587.7%50.7%-37.0 pts
Draw10.358.9%22.1%13.3 pts
Away26.573.5%27.1%23.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-37.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–19%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Zagora

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Zagora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZagoraLWLLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bratstvo JurovecNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
ZagoraBratstvo Jurovec
50.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
47.8Power50.0
1.98xG1.81
View match centre →