GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 7/29/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wisla Plock · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Wisla Plock are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Wisla Plock hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the I Liga, while Wisla Plock holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wisla Plock

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Wisla Plock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zaglebie SosnowiecLDWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Wisla PlockDWDDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 0/5
Zaglebie SosnowiecWisla Plock
20.6Attack45.1
46.1Defence54.9
15.7Form50.0
30.2Power51.6
0.73xG1.43
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