Zaglebie Sosnowiecvs
Rakow II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaglebie Sosnowiec · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 Rakow II
Original prediction
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.6% | 68.7% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.4% | 19.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 6.43 | 14.1% | 12.3% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80