Zaglebie Sosnowiecvs
Miedź Legnica II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaglebie Sosnowiec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-1 Miedź Legnica II
Original prediction
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.4% | 49.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.5% | 24.5% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 24.1% | 25.6% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80