GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zaglebie Sosnowiec · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-0 Kluczbork, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 Kluczbork

Original prediction

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6853.8%68.2%14.3 pts
Draw3.7224.4%20.0%-4.4 pts
Away4.1621.8%11.9%-9.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

14.3 pts

Projected Score

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2–0 Kluczbork

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Probability

68.2%

Model confidence

68.2%

Zaglebie Sosnowiec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zaglebie SosnowiecWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KluczborkLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Zaglebie SosnowiecKluczbork
50.0Attack33.3
70.0Defence43.3
63.3Form40.0
61.6Power42.2
1.95xG0.52
View match centre →