Zaglebie Lubinvs
Wisla Plock
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/20/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaglebie Lubin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 Wisla Plock
Original prediction
Zaglebie Lubin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.8% | 38.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.9% | 28.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 32.3% | 32.5% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Zaglebie Lubin
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Zaglebie Lubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20