Zaglebie Lubinvs
Miedz Legnica
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaglebie Lubin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Miedz Legnica
Original prediction
Zaglebie Lubin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.7% | 49.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.8% | 27.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 22.6% | 23.4% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Zaglebie Lubin
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Zaglebie Lubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80