Zaglebie Lubinvs
Jagiellonia
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/18/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaglebie Lubin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Jagiellonia
Original prediction
Zaglebie Lubin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 36.2% | 44.2% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.9% | 24.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 36.9% | 30.9% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Zaglebie Lubin
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Zaglebie Lubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80