Zaglebie Lubinvs
GKS Katowice
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/12/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaglebie Lubin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 GKS Katowice
Original prediction
Zaglebie Lubin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.9% | 37.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 28.0% | 27.6% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 36.1% | 35.4% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Zaglebie Lubin
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Zaglebie Lubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40