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Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:40
Zaglebie Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin

Home
L
02
Full time
Bohemians 1905

Bohemians 1905

Away
WL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Zaglebie Lubin40%
Draw35%
Bohemians 190525%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Bohemians 1905
Win probability
Zaglebie Lubin
40%
Draw
35%
Bohemians 1905
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Zaglebie Lubin
9
Bohemians 1905
34
Defence
Zaglebie Lubin
27
Bohemians 1905
66
Momentum
Zaglebie Lubin
0
Bohemians 1905
50
Danger (xG)
Zaglebie Lubin
0.00
Bohemians 1905
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.43 xG for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.14 xG for Bohemians 1905 — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.29), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.57 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Zaglebie Lubin's Defensive Stability (27) and Bohemians 1905's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Zaglebie Lubin)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Bohemians 1905)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Zaglebie Lubin)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Bohemians 1905)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
LL
Bohemians 1905Bohemians 1905
WL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Zaglebie Lubin40%
Draw35%
Bohemians 190525%

Zaglebie Lubin leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Zaglebie Lubin Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Zaglebie Lubin take on Bohemians 1905 in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Zaglebie Lubin have been conceding 1.94 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Zaglebie Lubin 0Draws 01 Bohemians 1905
Avg goals: 2.0
17 Jul 2026
Zaglebie Lubin
L02
Bohemians 1905

Recent form

Zaglebie Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin

L
vs Bohemians 1905
17 Jul 2026
02
L
vs Pogon Szczecin
15 May 2026
01
Bohemians 1905

Bohemians 1905

W
@ Zaglebie Lubin
17 Jul 2026
20
L
@ Wisla Plock
14 Jul 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Bohemians 1905?

GoalVio's model predicts Zaglebie Lubin to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zaglebie Lubin vs Bohemians 1905?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Zaglebie Lubin vs Bohemians 1905?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zaglebie Lubin vs Bohemians 1905?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more