Zagłębie Lubin IIvs
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zagłębie Lubin II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zagłębie Lubin II 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Original prediction
Zagłębie Lubin II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.8% | 44.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.0% | 25.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.3% | 30.8% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Zagłębie Lubin II
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Zagłębie Lubin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00