Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 202613:00Last updated 12:37
Zagłębie Lubin II

Zagłębie Lubin II

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L
05
Full time
Pardubice II

Pardubice II

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Pardubice II33%
Zagłębie Lubin II33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Zagłębie Lubin II
33%
Draw
33%
Pardubice II
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Zagłębie Lubin II
9
Pardubice II
73
Defence
Zagłębie Lubin II
66
Pardubice II
27
Momentum
Zagłębie Lubin II
0
Pardubice II
33
Danger (xG)
Zagłębie Lubin II
0.00
Pardubice II
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.14 xG for Zagłębie Lubin II and 2.49 xG for Pardubice II — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Zagłębie Lubin II holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.63 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Zagłębie Lubin II's Defensive Stability (66) and Pardubice II's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Zagłębie Lubin II)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Pardubice II)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Zagłębie Lubin II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Pardubice II)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Zagłębie Lubin IIZagłębie Lubin II
LWL
Pardubice IIPardubice II
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Zagłębie Lubin II33%
Draw33%
Pardubice II33%

Pardubice II leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Zagłębie Lubin II vs Pardubice II: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Zagłębie Lubin II host Pardubice II in Friendlies Clubs. Zagłębie Lubin II have recorded WDLLLL in recent matches while Pardubice II arrive with a run of LWLWWW. These sides have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.8 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.14 for Zagłębie Lubin II and 2.49 for Pardubice II. The gap of 1.36 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Zagłębie Lubin II have been conceding 1.96 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 2 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Zagłębie Lubin II

Zagłębie Lubin II

L
vs Odra Bytom Odrzański
15 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Warta Gorzów
15 May 2026
21
L
vs Carina Gubin
12 May 2026
14
Pardubice II

Pardubice II

D
@ Rapid Vienna
5 Jul 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Pardubice II?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Pardubice II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Pardubice II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Pardubice II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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