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Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Zagłębie Lubin II

Zagłębie Lubin II

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L
01
Full time
Odra Bytom Odrzański

Odra Bytom Odrzański

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Odra Bytom Odrzański33%
Zagłębie Lubin II33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Odra Bytom Odrzański
Win probability
Zagłębie Lubin II
33%
Draw
33%
Odra Bytom Odrzański
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Zagłębie Lubin II
9
Odra Bytom Odrzański
34
Defence
Zagłębie Lubin II
66
Odra Bytom Odrzański
66
Momentum
Zagłębie Lubin II
0
Odra Bytom Odrzański
50
Danger (xG)
Zagłębie Lubin II
0.00
Odra Bytom Odrzański
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.02 xG for Zagłębie Lubin II and 1.35 xG for Odra Bytom Odrzański — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.33), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.37 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Zagłębie Lubin II's Defensive Stability (66) and Odra Bytom Odrzański's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Zagłębie Lubin II)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Odra Bytom Odrzański)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Zagłębie Lubin II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Odra Bytom Odrzański)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Zagłębie Lubin IIZagłębie Lubin II
LWL
Odra Bytom OdrzańskiOdra Bytom Odrzański
LW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Zagłębie Lubin II33%
Draw33%
Odra Bytom Odrzański33%

Odra Bytom Odrzański leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Zagłębie Lubin II Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Zagłębie Lubin II host Odra Bytom Odrzański in Friendlies Clubs. Zagłębie Lubin II have recorded WDLLLL in recent matches while Odra Bytom Odrzański arrive with a run of DDWLWL. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Zagłębie Lubin II 0Draws 01 Odra Bytom Odrzański
Avg goals: 1.0
15 Jul 2026
Zagłębie Lubin II
L01
Odra Bytom Odrzański

Recent form

Zagłębie Lubin II

Zagłębie Lubin II

L
vs Odra Bytom Odrzański
15 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Warta Gorzów
15 May 2026
21
L
vs Carina Gubin
12 May 2026
14
Odra Bytom Odrzański

Odra Bytom Odrzański

L
vs Lipno Stęszew
18 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Zagłębie Lubin II
15 Jul 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?

GoalVio's model predicts Zagłębie Lubin II to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more