Zagłębie Lubin IIvs
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zagłębie Lubin II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zagłębie Lubin II 1-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Original prediction
Zagłębie Lubin II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.8% | 50.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 25.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 25.9% | 24.5% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Zagłębie Lubin II
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Zagłębie Lubin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60