GGOALVIO

Poland · II Liga - East · 7/30/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kalisz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Zagłębie Lubin II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kalisz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalisz hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the II Liga - East, while Kalisz holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kalisz

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Kalisz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zagłębie Lubin IIWWLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
KaliszLLWLL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Zagłębie Lubin IIKalisz
47.1Attack46.3
53.9Defence68.5
45.1Form53.7
50.2Power56.9
0.94xG1.20
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