Zagłębie Lubin IIvs
Górnik Polkowice
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zagłębie Lubin II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zagłębie Lubin II 1-1 Górnik Polkowice
Original prediction
Zagłębie Lubin II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.3% | 51.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.8% | 24.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 26.9% | 24.8% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Zagłębie Lubin II
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Zagłębie Lubin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40