Zagłębie Lubin IIvs
Carina Gubin
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zagłębie Lubin II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zagłębie Lubin II 3-0 Carina Gubin
Original prediction
Zagłębie Lubin II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 66.5% | 75.7% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.3% | 14.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 6.31 | 14.2% | 9.6% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Zagłębie Lubin II
Probability
75.7%
Model confidence
75.7%
Zagłębie Lubin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40