Zacatepec 1948vs
Reboceros La Piedad
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/3/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reboceros La Piedad · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zacatepec 1948 2-2 Reboceros La Piedad
Original prediction
Reboceros La Piedad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.9% | 33.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.3% | 27.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.8% | 38.4% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Reboceros La Piedad
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Reboceros La Piedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20