GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Zacapa Tellioz are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Achuapa are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Achuapa hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Liga Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zacapa TelliozWW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
AchuapaDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.67/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Zacapa TelliozAchuapa
36.1Attack43.5
53.7Defence50.9
37.0Form48.1
43.9Power49.6
1.11xG1.12
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