Zacapa Telliozvs
Achuapa
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Zacapa Tellioz are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Achuapa are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Achuapa hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Liga Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.67/2.33