Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zabreh are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Šumperk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00