Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zabreh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zabreh are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stonava are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stonava hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Zabreh holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zabreh
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Zabreh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80