Zabbar St. Patrickvs
Sliema Wanderers
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sliema Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zabbar St. Patrick 2-3 Sliema Wanderers
Original prediction
Sliema Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.21 | 21.5% | 29.8% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 28.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 51.1% | 41.9% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Sliema Wanderers
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Sliema Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00