Zabbar St. Patrickvs
Hamrun Spartans
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zabbar St. Patrick · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Hamrun Spartans
Original prediction
Zabbar St. Patrick
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.29 | 21.3% | 37.4% | 16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.1% | 27.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 53.6% | 35.3% | -18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Zabbar St. Patrick
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Zabbar St. Patrick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40