Zabbar St. Patrickvs
Birkirkara
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birkirkara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zabbar St. Patrick 0-2 Birkirkara
Original prediction
Birkirkara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.39 | 20.6% | 27.0% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 28.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 52.9% | 44.9% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Birkirkara
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Birkirkara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80