Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yverdon W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Yverdon W are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Thun W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Yverdon W holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yverdon W
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Yverdon W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00