Yverdon Sportvs
Stade Nyonnais
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yverdon Sport · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yverdon Sport 4-1 Stade Nyonnais
Original prediction
Yverdon Sport
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 66.0% | 64.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.73 | 19.3% | 20.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 6.18 | 14.7% | 15.0% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Yverdon Sport
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Yverdon Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60