GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Yverdon Sport 0-0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Original prediction

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3039.6%31.1%-8.5 pts
Draw3.3527.2%25.2%-2.0 pts
Away2.7433.2%43.7%10.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.1–29%

Predicted outcome

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yverdon SportLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Stade Lausanne-OuchyWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Yverdon SportStade Lausanne-Ouchy
58.3Attack70.8
62.5Defence87.5
62.5Form83.3
62.4Power80.3
1.11xG1.55
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