Yverdon Sportvs
SC Kriens
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 10/25/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yverdon Sport · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yverdon Sport 5-2 SC Kriens
Original prediction
Yverdon Sport
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.6% | 51.9% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.4% | 24.5% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 5.06 | 18.0% | 23.6% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Yverdon Sport
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Yverdon Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60