GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 8/28/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yverdon Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Yverdon Sport 1-1 FC WIL 1900

Original prediction

Yverdon Sport

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6256.5%57.1%0.6 pts
Draw4.0122.8%22.2%-0.7 pts
Away4.4220.7%20.8%0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.2–09%
  3. 3.1–19%

Predicted outcome

Yverdon Sport

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Yverdon Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yverdon SportWWWDD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC WIL 1900LWLLW

GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Yverdon SportFC WIL 1900
58.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence0.0
66.7Form25.0
66.3Power28.2
2.40xG1.06
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