GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 8/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yverdon Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Yverdon Sport are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Aarau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and yverdon Sport hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Challenge League, favouring Yverdon Sport with 12.0% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yverdon Sport

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

12.0%

Yverdon Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yverdon SportWDDDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC AarauWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Yverdon SportFC Aarau
55.6Attack33.3
66.7Defence44.4
55.6Form44.4
60.9Power43.8
1.82xG1.08
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