Yverdon Sportvs
FC Aarau
SCHEDULEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 8/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yverdon Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Yverdon Sport are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Aarau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and yverdon Sport hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Challenge League, favouring Yverdon Sport with 12.0% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yverdon Sport
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
12.0%
Yverdon Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40