Yupanquivs
Leones de Rosario
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Yupanqui 0-0 Leones de Rosario, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Yupanqui 0-1 Leones de Rosario
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 27.1% | 31.8% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.1% | 33.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 42.8% | 34.6% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Yupanqui 0–0 Leones de Rosario
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.7%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
YupanquiLLDWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Leones de RosarioWWLWD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
YupanquiLeones de Rosario
39.7Attack32.1
61.5Defence71.8
42.3Form51.3
49.2Power54.0
0.71xG0.69