Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yupanqui · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Yupanqui are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fénix are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Yupanqui hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.1% in the Primera C, while Yupanqui holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yupanqui
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
26.1%
Yupanqui has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20