Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yupanqui · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Yupanqui are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Claypole are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Yupanqui hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Primera C, while Yupanqui holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yupanqui
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Yupanqui has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/3.50
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00