Yunnan Yukunvs
Shenyang Urban
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 9/6/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yunnan Yukun 5-0 Shenyang Urban
Original prediction
Yunnan Yukun
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 53.8% | 52.4% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 22.4% | 20.4% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.8% | 27.2% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Yunnan Yukun
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00