Super LeagueSuper League
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:40
Yunnan Yukun

Yunnan Yukun

Home
DLW
22
Full time
SHANGHAI SIPG

SHANGHAI SIPG

Away
DL
Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Yunnan Yukun(42%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Yunnan Yukun
42%
Draw
26%
SHANGHAI SIPG
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Yunnan Yukun
83
SHANGHAI SIPG
54
Defence
Yunnan Yukun
17
SHANGHAI SIPG
27
Momentum
Yunnan Yukun
44
SHANGHAI SIPG
17
Danger (xG)
Yunnan Yukun
2.10
SHANGHAI SIPG
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Yunnan Yukun)
2.10
avg per match
xG for (SHANGHAI SIPG)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Yunnan Yukun)
2.10
avg per match
xG against (SHANGHAI SIPG)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
DLWLW
SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
DLWD

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Yunnan Yukun42%
Draw26%
SHANGHAI SIPG33%

Yunnan Yukun leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Yunnan Yukun head into this in Super League fixture at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium in mixed form (DLW), while SHANGHAI SIPG arrive in mixed form (DL). Yunnan Yukun have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for SHANGHAI SIPG over 2 games.

The model rates Yunnan Yukun's attack at 83/100 against a 27/100 SHANGHAI SIPG defence, and SHANGHAI SIPG's attack at 54/100 against a 17/100 Yunnan Yukun backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Yunnan Yukun have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. SHANGHAI SIPG have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Yunnan Yukun to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Yunnan Yukun 4164%, Draw 2575%, SHANGHAI SIPG 3261%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Yunnan Yukun 0Draws 10 SHANGHAI SIPG
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Yunnan Yukun
D22
SHANGHAI SIPG

Recent form

Yunnan Yukun

Yunnan Yukun

D
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
17 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Shandong Luneng
10 Jul 2026
34
W
vs Henan Jianye
3 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Qingdao Jonoon
26 Jun 2026
24
W
vs Shanghai Shenhua
16 May 2026
10
SHANGHAI SIPG

SHANGHAI SIPG

D
@ Yunnan Yukun
17 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Qingdao Youth Island
4 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Henan Jianye
27 Jun 2026
21
D
vs Hangzhou Greentown
15 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

GoalVio's model predicts Yunnan Yukun to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Yunnan Yukun vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Yunnan Yukun vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more