GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Yunnan Yukun are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Shandong Luneng are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Super League, while Yunnan Yukun holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yunnan Yukun

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yunnan YukunLWLDD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Shandong LunengWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Yunnan YukunShandong Luneng
65.2Attack60.9
37.9Defence44.9
47.0Form56.5
51.5Power55.0
2.29xG2.12
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