GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/7/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Yunnan Yukun are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Qingdao Jonoon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yunnan Yukun hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Super League, while Yunnan Yukun holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yunnan Yukun

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

8.6%

Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yunnan YukunLDDWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Qingdao JonoonDWWLL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Yunnan YukunQingdao Jonoon
65.2Attack44.9
37.9Defence36.2
47.0Form30.4
51.5Power38.9
2.80xG1.49
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