Super LeagueSuper League
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Yunnan Yukun

Yunnan Yukun

Home
DLW
21
Full time
Henan Jianye

Henan Jianye

Away
WL
Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Yunnan Yukun(46%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Yunnan Yukun
Win probability
Yunnan Yukun
46%
Draw
25%
Henan Jianye
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Yunnan Yukun
83
Henan Jianye
94
Defence
Yunnan Yukun
17
Henan Jianye
46
Momentum
Yunnan Yukun
44
Henan Jianye
50
Danger (xG)
Yunnan Yukun
2.10
Henan Jianye
0.45
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Yunnan Yukun)
2.10
avg per match
xG for (Henan Jianye)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Yunnan Yukun)
2.10
avg per match
xG against (Henan Jianye)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
DLWLW
Henan JianyeHenan Jianye
WLLW

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Yunnan Yukun46%
Draw25%
Henan Jianye29%

Yunnan Yukun leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Yunnan Yukun head into this in Super League fixture at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium in mixed form (DLW), while Henan Jianye arrive in mixed form (WL). Yunnan Yukun have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for Henan Jianye over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Yunnan Yukun (83/100) and Henan Jianye (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Yunnan Yukun have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Henan Jianye have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Henan Jianye have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Yunnan Yukun have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Yunnan Yukun to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Yunnan Yukun 4620%, Draw 2460%, Henan Jianye 2930%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Yunnan Yukun 1Draws 00 Henan Jianye
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Yunnan Yukun
W21
Henan Jianye

Recent form

Yunnan Yukun

Yunnan Yukun

D
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
17 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Shandong Luneng
10 Jul 2026
34
W
vs Henan Jianye
3 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Qingdao Jonoon
26 Jun 2026
24
W
vs Shanghai Shenhua
16 May 2026
10
Henan Jianye

Henan Jianye

W
vs Qingdao Jonoon
17 Jul 2026
51
xG 0.0
L
@ Yunnan Yukun
3 Jul 2026
12
L
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
27 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye?

GoalVio's model predicts Yunnan Yukun to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Jianye?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more