Yunnan Yukunvs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/17/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long
Original prediction
Yunnan Yukun
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 58.3% | 51.4% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 22.3% | 21.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.77 | 19.4% | 27.0% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Yunnan Yukun
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40