Chengdu Better City leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Yunnan Yukun head into this in FA Cup fixture at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium in mixed form (DLW), while Chengdu Better City arrive in mixed form (DD). Yunnan Yukun have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Chengdu Better City over 2 games.

The model rates Yunnan Yukun's attack at 83/100 against a 66/100 Chengdu Better City defence, and Chengdu Better City's attack at 34/100 against a 17/100 Yunnan Yukun backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Yunnan Yukun have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Chengdu Better City have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Chengdu Better City have generated 2.11 xG per game recently while conceding 0.67 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Yunnan Yukun and Chengdu Better City in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Chengdu Better City to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Yunnan Yukun 3155%, Draw 2310%, Chengdu Better City 4535%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Yunnan Yukun

D

vs SHANGHAI SIPG

17 Jul 2026

2–2

L

@ Shandong Luneng

10 Jul 2026

3–4

W

vs Henan Jianye

3 Jul 2026

2–1

L

@ Qingdao Jonoon

26 Jun 2026

2–4

W

vs Shanghai Shenhua

16 May 2026

1–0

Chengdu Better City

D

vs Chongqing Tongliang Long

11 Jul 2026

1–1

xG 2.1

D

@ Qingdao Jonoon

5 Jul 2026

1–1

W

@ Sichuan Jiuniu

27 Jun 2026

3–2

W

@ Tianjin Teda

15 May 2026

2–1

Frequently asked questions

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