GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yunnan Yukun are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yunnan YukunWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Beijing GuoanLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Yunnan YukunBeijing Guoan
65.2Attack60.3
37.9Defence57.1
47.0Form54.0
51.5Power58.1
1.78xG2.11
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