GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ypiranga-RS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ypiranga-RS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Maringá are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ypiranga-RS hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Serie C, while Ypiranga-RS holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ypiranga-RS

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Ypiranga-RS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ypiranga-RSLWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MaringáLWLLW

GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ypiranga-RSMaringá
45.8Attack58.3
58.3Defence41.7
50.0Form47.9
52.6Power49.7
1.73xG1.32
View match centre →